Contemporary Fiction • Near-Future

The Morning the Number Was Real

For six years the company was a private thing, a number you could only argue about. Then it filed to go public, and Marcus woke to find his old life converted into a figure on a page he could not quite believe. A quiet story about paper wealth, the friend who left too early, and the strange morning a guess becomes a fact.

by Michael EakinsJune 3, 202610 min read2,057 words
Mood: Reflective and ambivalent
AI IndustryIPOStartupsNear-Future

Marcus heard about it the way he heard about most things now, from his phone, on the toilet, at 6:42 in the morning.

The notification was from a news app he kept meaning to delete. It said the company had confidentially filed to go public at a valuation of roughly 965 billion dollars, on a revenue run rate of about 47 billion. He read it twice. Then he set the phone face-down on the edge of the sink and looked at the grout between the tiles, which needed cleaning, and which he had been not cleaning for some time.

He had been employee number forty-one. He still thought of it that way, though no one had used the numbers in years and there were now somewhere north of nine thousand people, most of whom he would never meet, many of whom had been in middle school when he signed his offer.

Forty-one. He remembered being told the number, almost as a joke, by the woman who ran the office before there was an office, when the company was eleven people in a sublet with a refrigerator that hummed like a small aircraft. He had taken a pay cut to come. His mother had asked him, gently, on the phone, whether he was sure, and he had said the word he said about everything back then, which was probably.

He picked the phone back up. The number was still there.

He did the arithmetic he had promised himself he would never do, the arithmetic everyone did and no one admitted to. His grant, the old one, the one from before the splits and the refreshes, the one he had almost let lapse because he could not be bothered to read the paperwork. If the page was right. If the page was anything close to right.

It was a large number. It was the kind of number that did not feel like money so much as like weather, a front moving in over a state he did not live in.

He put on coffee and stood in the kitchen in the gray light and tried to feel something specific.

The thing about the filing, he understood, standing there, was not the money. The money had been theoretical for years; everyone knew, in the abstract, that the company was worth a great deal, in the way everyone knows the sun is large. What was new was that it was now written down. Confidentially, sure, but written down, by lawyers, in a document that could be checked. For six years the question of what the company was worth had been a thing you could argue about at parties, a guess wearing the costume of a fact. Now there would be a page with real numbers on it, and the numbers would be either right or wrong. Someone, eventually, would be able to say so.

That was the part that unsettled him. Not we are rich. We can now be wrong.

He texted Dani before he had decided to.

you see it

The reply came fast, which meant she was awake, which meant she had seen it too.

saw it. you ok?

He looked at the question. It was a strange question to ask a man who had, on paper, just become wealthy, and it was exactly the right question, which was why he had texted her and not anyone else.

idk yet he wrote. come get coffee?


The cafe was the one near the old office, not the new one. The new office had a cafe inside it, with a barista the company paid for, and Marcus avoided it the way you avoid a room where everyone is too happy.

Dani was already there when he arrived, at the table in the back, with her hands around a cup she wasn't drinking from. She had left the company four years ago. This was the fact that sat between them, always, politely, like a third chair no one used.

"So," she said.

"So."

"You're a wealthy man."

"I'm a man with a number," he said. "There's a difference. I can't spend it. I can't touch it for a while. It's not real yet."

"It's real," Dani said. "It's just not liquid. Those aren't the same thing." She had become a person who said liquid easily. She ran a small team at a company that made software for dentists, and she was, he could tell, happy in a way he had stopped being able to read in people who worked at the company, where happiness had a faint corporate sheen, like the photo on a brochure.

"You left at the wrong time," he said. He hadn't meant to say it. It came out flat, almost cruel, and he watched it land.

She didn't flinch. She had clearly already thought about this, probably since 6:42, probably before he had. "I left at the right time for me," she said. "I left for a reason. I was going to come apart if I stayed. You remember what I was like."

He remembered. The year of the launch. The on-call rotations that ate weekends, then ate the idea of weekends. Dani crying in the stairwell once, not because anything had happened, just because nothing had stopped happening. She had quit on a Tuesday and looked, by Friday, like a different and better person.

"I know what I gave up," she said. "I did the math too. You think I didn't do the math this morning?" She turned the cup a quarter-turn. "I gave up a number. I'm aware of the number. The number is large." She looked at him steadily. "I don't regret it. Most mornings I don't regret it. This morning, for about ten minutes, I regretted it. Then I had breakfast with my kid and I stopped."

Marcus didn't have a kid. He had the company, which had, for a long time, been the thing he had instead.

"Does it bother you," he asked, "that it's true now? Like, officially. That there's going to be a page that says what it was all worth, and you can read it, and either we were right or we were idiots."

Dani considered this. She had always been the one who actually considered things.

"That's the part you're stuck on," she said. It wasn't a question.

"Yeah."

"Because if it's worth what they say, then I left a billion dollars on the table for my sanity, and that's a clean story, I can live with that. But if it's not worth it—if the page is a lie everyone agreed to believe—then you stayed six years for a lie everyone agreed to believe." She tilted her head. "And there won't be any more probably. Eventually there'll be a stock price. Every day. A number that tells you, that morning, whether the thing you gave your thirties to was real."

He hadn't put it that cleanly to himself, and hearing her put it cleanly was almost a relief, the way it's a relief when a doctor finally names the thing.

"I don't know if I believe it," he admitted. "The number. I work there. I see how the thing actually gets made. There's so much—" he gestured, vaguely, at the air, at the enormous gap between the figure on the page and the Tuesday-afternoon reality of broken builds and arguments in conference rooms and the model that still, sometimes, confidently told you a city was the capital of a country it was not in. "It's a real thing. It's a genuinely real thing, we built a real thing. I'm proud of it. I just don't know if it's a 965-billion-dollar thing. I don't know if anyone knows. I don't know if knowing is even the kind of thing you can do here."

"Nobody knows," Dani said gently. "That's what the IPO is. It's a way of finding out. They're going to put it in front of everybody and let everybody guess at once, and the average of all the guessing is going to be called the price, and we're going to treat the average of the guessing as if it were a fact about the world." She smiled, a little sadly. "It was always guessing. Now it's just guessing with a decimal point."


He went in to work afterward, because it was a workday and the thing about a workday is that it does not care.

The office had the wrong energy. Not jubilant—jubilant he could have handled, or hated cleanly. It was something quieter and more embarrassing. People were being careful with each other. In the kitchen two engineers he knew stopped talking when he walked in, then over-corrected and talked too loudly about a deployment. Everyone, he understood, was doing the same arithmetic he had done at the sink, about themselves and about each other, recalculating in real time what every person in the building was now worth, and trying to pretend they weren't, and the pretending was the loud part.

A younger guy, Reza, who had joined maybe eighteen months ago, caught him by the standing desks. "You were here early, right? Like, way early?" There was something hungry in it, not unkind, just young. "What was it like? Did you know?"

"Did I know what?"

"That it'd be—" Reza opened his hands at the room, at the whole improbable fact of it. "This."

Marcus thought about the refrigerator that hummed like an aircraft. He thought about the woman who'd told him he was forty-one. He thought about how, for the first two years, he had assumed, in the back of his mind, that it would probably fail, the way most things fail, and that he would tell the story at some later job, the company that almost. He had not stayed because he knew. He had stayed because he liked the people and the problem and because leaving would have required a decision and staying did not.

"No," Marcus said. "Nobody knew. Anybody who tells you they knew is selling something."

Reza nodded slowly, a little disappointed, the way you're disappointed when an oracle turns out to be just a tired man.


He left before six, which he never did.

The light was long and gold on the parking structure and the number was still sitting in him, not as joy and not as fear, but as a kind of vertigo, the specific dizziness of standing at the edge of a thing you used to be inside of.

For six years it had been his, partly, in the way a thing is yours when it is still small enough to hold an opinion about. He had argued about what it was worth. He had been allowed to argue, because no one knew, because the not-knowing was the room they all lived in together. Now the not-knowing was ending. Soon there would be a page, and then a price, and then the price would change every single day, and the changing price would tell him, every morning, what the world had decided his thirties had been worth, and he would not get a vote.

He thought about Dani, going home to her kid, having regretted it for ten minutes and then stopped. He thought that this was, maybe, the only sane way to hold any of it: to know your number, to acknowledge that it was large, and then to go have breakfast with the part of your life that was not a number, if you had one.

He sat in his car in the gold light and did not start it.

He did not feel rich. He felt like a man who had spent six years building a house in the fog, and the fog was lifting, and any minute now he was going to see the house clearly for the first time, and there was no way to know, until it cleared, whether what he had built was a mansion or a very elaborate shed.

He found that he wanted, more than the money, to be right. To have the page say the thing was real. Not for the number. For the six years.

That was the part, he thought, that no one would put in the filing. There was no line for it. There was revenue and there was head count and there was a valuation in the high hundreds of billions, and there was nowhere on the page for a tired man in a parking structure who only wanted the long bet of his one and only life to turn out to have been worth making.

He started the car.

It would clear, or it wouldn't. Either way, by morning, it would begin to be a fact.